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The Potential Impacts of Nano-Scale Technologies on Commodity Markets: the Implications for Commodity-Dependent Developing Countries

Research Papers 4

INTRODUCTION (excerpt)

Note: Specialized terms related to nano-scale technologies are underlined in this document and are defined in the glossary.

Commodity production is the mainstay of the economy in most developing countries. According to UNCTAD, commodity dependence is measured by the share of the three leading commodities in a given country’s total exports. The bigger the share, the more dependent the country is. Commodity dependence and poverty are closely intertwined. Commodities provide the primary source of income for the South’s rural poor. According to the Common Fund for Commodities, of the two and a half billion people engaged in agriculture in developing countries, an estimated one billion derive a significant part of their income from the production of export commodities. Ninety-five out of 141 developing countries depend on commodities for at least 50 per cent of their export earnings; 46 developing countries depend on three or fewer commodities for more than half of their total export earnings.(See Appendix, Table 1, for ranking of countries based on leading three export commodities.) The challenges posed by commodity dependence are myriad and complex. The defining feature of commodity dependence is a high degree of economic vulnerability due primarily to the persistent problems of price declines and volatility, trade-distorting subsidies, unfair trade barriers and a high degree of market concentration.

Strategies to address the economic vulnerability of commodity dependent developing countries frequently centre on efforts to reduce trade barriers and promote a fairer international trading system. However, the emphasis on trade alone is not sufficient, particularly in the light of rapid advances in nano-scale science and technologies. In a very real sense, technology is poised to trump trade as the defining feature of comparative advantage in the 21st century. In the coming decades, nano-scale technologies could make geography, raw materials, and even labour, irrelevant.

This report provides a brief introduction to nano-scale technologies and examines their potential impacts on commodity dependent developing countries. Nanotechnology refers to the manipulation of matter on the scale of atoms and molecules – where size is measured in billionths of metres. Below about 100 nanometres (nm) materials can have different or enhanced properties compared with the same materials at a larger scale. The UK’s Royal Society and Royal Academy of Engineering describe nanotechnologies as “the design, characterization, production and application of structures, devices and systems by controlling shape and size at nanometer scale.”

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